The impact of treatment strategies on the epidemiological dynamics of
plasmid-conferred antibiotic resistance
Mütter, Angst, Regoes, Bonhoeffer · PNAS · 2024
Abstract
The issue of antibiotic resistance is a critical concern for public health,
prompting numerous investigations into the impact of treatment strategies on
preventing or slowing down the emergence of resistance. While existing
studies have predominantly focused on chromosomal resistance mutations, the
consequences of often clinically more relevant plasmid-conferred resistance
remain insufficiently explored. To address this gap, we conducted three
extensive in vitro experiments utilizing a liquid-handling platform. These
experiments evaluated the efficacy of five distinct treatment strategies
using two antibiotics (tetracycline and ceftazidime) along with two
horizontally transmissible clinical resistance plasmids conferring the
respective resistances. Among the experimentally investigated treatment
strategies, combination therapy proved to be the most effective in
preventing the emergence of double resistance while minimizing the number of
infections. To verify the reliability of these findings, we constructed a
computational model of our experiments that we parameterized using the
experimental data. We employed this model to augment the experimental data
by conducting an in silico parameter sensitivity analysis. The sensitivity
analysis corroborated our experimental results, demonstrating that
combination therapy consistently outperformed other treatment strategies
across a range of parameter values.
doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2406818121
High-throughput quantification of population dynamics using luminescence
Mütter, Angst, Regoes, Bonhoeffer · eLife 15:RP109213 · 2026
Abstract
Bacterial population decline at antibiotic concentrations above the minimum
inhibitory concentration (MIC) remains poorly characterized. This is because
colony-forming units (CFU), the standard method to quantify inhibition, are
slow, labor-intensive, and costly. Luminescence assays are widely used to
quantify population dynamics at subinhibitory concentrations, yet their
limitations and reliability at high concentrations remain underexplored.
Here, we compared luminescence- and CFU-based rates in Escherichia
coli across 20 antimicrobials. In our experiments, luminescence- and
CFU-based rates did not differ significantly for half of them. For the other
half, CFU-based decline rates were consistently higher. The estimates
differed for two main reasons: First, because light intensity tracks biomass
more closely than population size, luminescence declined more slowly than
the population when bacteria filamented. Second, CFU-based estimates
indicated a steeper decline when treatment reduced the number of colonies
formed per plated bacterium. This can result from changes in clustering
behavior, physiological changes that impair culturability, or antimicrobial
carryover. Thus, the suitability of luminescence to quantify bacterial
decline depends on the physiological effects of the antimicrobial and
whether the quantity of interest is cell number or biomass. Within these
limitations, luminescence can serve as an efficient, high-throughput
alternative for quantifying bacterial dynamics at super-MIC concentrations.
doi.org/10.7554/eLife.109213.3
Antimicrobial Combination Effects at Sub-inhibitory Doses do not Reliably
Predict Effects at Inhibitory Concentrations
Mütter, Angst, Regoes, Bonhoeffer · bioRxiv preprint, in
revision at PLOS Biology
Abstract
Assessing whether drug combinations synergise or antagonise is difficult for
several reasons: (i) measuring bacterial death rates at clinically relevant
inhibitory drug concentrations is methodologically challenging, (ii) there is
no unifying definition of what constitutes synergy or antagonism, and (iii)
both synergy and antagonism may be concentration- and mixing-ratio-dependent.
To assess how well sub-inhibitory measurements predict inhibitory behaviour,
we quantified drug interactions for 15 pairwise drug combinations on a
concentration checkerboard covering a wide range of inhibitory and
sub-inhibitory concentrations. To this end, we tracked the population
dynamics of 8640 bioluminescent E. coli cultures by recording their
light-intensity trajectories. To handle time-varying treatment effects and
allow fair comparisons between drugs with distinct killing dynamics, we used
a time-weighted net growth rate ψ to summarise each trajectory and assigned
interaction labels (synergistic/independent/antagonistic) based on Bliss
independence and Loewe additivity. We found that the interaction label
depends on both the concentration and the mixing ratio, frequently changing
between the sub-inhibitory and inhibitory regimes. Characterising drug
combinations at a single sub-inhibitory concentration is therefore not
sufficient. Instead, their combined effects should be assessed at the
conditions of their intended use.
doi.org/10.64898/2026.02.07.703730